CF monthly performance report
Monthly CF research: returns, drawdown, relative strength, seasonality, and key stats.
CF monthly report
—
Key takeaways
- CF Industries (CF) closed September 2026 at $135.11, up 3.91% for the month and +55.48% over the trailing 12 months.
- Year-to-date, CF is +74.70%, outperforming the S&P 500 which has returned +11.13% YTD.
- The stock is trading +25.04% versus its 200-day moving average ($108.06), a bullish technical signal.
- Over the past three years, CF has underperformed the S&P 500 by −8.76%, with a relative strength index reading of 97.7.
- Win rate over the trailing 39 months stands at 56.4% — 22 positive months versus 17 negative months.
CF Industries ended September 2026 at $135.11, posting a monthly return of +3.91%. The S&P 500 returned −1.20% over the same window, leaving relative performance at +5.11%.
The current quarter stands at +24.80% (Q3 2026 (QTD)), while medium-term trend remains constructive: price is +25.04% versus the 200-day moving average ($108.06).
Year-to-date, CF is +74.70% against SPY +11.13%, a gap of +63.56%. The stock is currently −4.83% below its 52-week high, with maximum 3-year drawdown at −29.59%.
| Period | CF | S&P 500 (SPY) | Excess return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | −2.17% | −0.60% | −1.57% |
| 1 Week | −0.36% | −0.52% | +0.16% |
| 1 Month | +3.91% | −1.20% | +5.11% |
| 3 Months | +19.05% | +2.82% | +16.23% |
| 6 Months | +21.96% | +12.71% | +9.25% |
| YTD | +74.70% | +11.13% | +63.56% |
| 12 Months | +55.48% | +16.19% | +39.28% |
| 3 Years | +61.34% | +70.10% | −8.76% |
| Rank | Month | Return |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mar 2026 | +30.44% |
| #2 | Jan 2026 | +20.55% |
| #3 | Jul 2023 | +18.24% |
| #4 | May 2025 | +15.75% |
| #5 | Jul 2026 | +15.64% |
| Rank | Month | Return |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Feb 2025 | −12.14% |
| #2 | May 2026 | −9.54% |
| #3 | Oct 2025 | −7.15% |
| #4 | Jun 2024 | −7.04% |
| #5 | Oct 2023 | −6.95% |
| Quarter | Return |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | +17.72% |
| Q3 2025 | −2.50% |
| Q4 2025 | −13.78% |
| Q1 2026 | +67.88% |
| Q2 2026 | −16.62% |
| Q3 2026 (QTD) | +24.80% |
| Year | Return |
|---|---|
| 2023 | −6.69% |
| 2024 | +7.32% |
| 2025 | −9.35% |
| 2026 | +74.70% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | $141.96 (2026-03-30) |
| 52-Week Low | $75.42 (2025-12-10) |
| Current Price | $135.11 |
| 200-Day Moving Average | $108.06 |
| Price vs 200DMA | +25.04% |
| 3-Year Maximum Drawdown | −29.59% (2025-04-08) |
| Current Drawdown from 52W High | −4.83% |
| RS metric | Value |
|---|---|
| RS Index (3-year, rebased to 100) | 97.7 |
| 3-Year Excess Return vs S&P 500 | −8.76% |
| RS Peak | 119.3 (Mar 2026) |
| RS Trough | 60.7 (Dec 2025) |
| Status | Underperforming Benchmark |
Frequently asked questions
What was CF's return for this report period?
CF returned +3.91% in the latest monthly window ending 2026-09-10.
Has CF outperformed SPY year to date?
YTD CF: +74.70% vs SPY: +11.13%.
What is CF's 12-month return?
+55.48% over the trailing 12 months.
Is CF above or below its 200-day moving average?
Price is +25.04% versus 200DMA ($108.06).
What is the maximum drawdown in the 3-year window?
−29.59% on 2025-04-08.