CF monthly performance report
Monthly CF research: returns, drawdown, relative strength, seasonality, and key stats.
CF monthly report
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Key takeaways
- CF Industries (CF) closed August 2026 at $116.71, down 6.77% for the month and +25.87% over the trailing 12 months.
- Year-to-date, CF is +50.91%, outperforming the S&P 500 which has returned +12.89% YTD.
- The stock is trading +13.05% versus its 200-day moving average ($103.24), a bullish technical signal.
- Over the past three years, CF has underperformed the S&P 500 by −28.63%, with a relative strength index reading of 84.9.
- Win rate over the trailing 39 months stands at 51.3% — 20 positive months versus 19 negative months.
CF Industries ended August 2026 at $116.71, posting a monthly return of −6.77%. The S&P 500 returned +3.05% over the same window, leaving relative performance at −9.82%.
The current quarter stands at +15.19% (Q3 2026 (QTD)), while medium-term trend remains constructive: price is +13.05% versus the 200-day moving average ($103.24).
Year-to-date, CF is +50.91% against SPY +12.89%, a gap of +38.02%. The stock is currently −17.79% below its 52-week high, with maximum 3-year drawdown at −29.59%.
| Period | CF | S&P 500 (SPY) | Excess return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | −1.19% | −0.20% | −0.99% |
| 1 Week | −5.05% | +3.90% | −8.96% |
| 1 Month | −6.77% | +3.05% | −9.82% |
| 3 Months | −6.03% | +7.11% | −13.15% |
| 6 Months | +29.91% | +10.70% | +19.21% |
| YTD | +50.91% | +12.89% | +38.02% |
| 12 Months | +25.87% | +22.58% | +3.29% |
| 3 Years | +43.66% | +72.29% | −28.63% |
| Rank | Month | Return |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Mar 2026 | +20.67% |
| #2 | Jan 2026 | +20.33% |
| #3 | Jul 2023 | +18.36% |
| #4 | May 2025 | +15.50% |
| #5 | Jul 2026 | +15.48% |
| Rank | Month | Return |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Feb 2025 | −11.20% |
| #2 | May 2026 | −9.36% |
| #3 | Oct 2025 | −7.11% |
| #4 | Oct 2023 | −6.68% |
| #5 | Aug 2025 | −6.65% |
| Quarter | Return |
|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | +16.22% |
| Q3 2025 | −2.29% |
| Q4 2025 | −14.01% |
| Q1 2026 | +57.99% |
| Q2 2026 | −16.60% |
| Q3 2026 (QTD) | +15.19% |
| Year | Return |
|---|---|
| 2023 | −9.98% |
| 2024 | +5.35% |
| 2025 | −11.06% |
| 2026 | +51.78% |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| 52-Week High | $141.96 (2026-03-30) |
| 52-Week Low | $75.42 (2025-12-10) |
| Current Price | $116.71 |
| 200-Day Moving Average | $103.24 |
| Price vs 200DMA | +13.05% |
| 3-Year Maximum Drawdown | −29.59% (2025-04-08) |
| Current Drawdown from 52W High | −17.79% |
| RS metric | Value |
|---|---|
| RS Index (3-year, rebased to 100) | 84.9 |
| 3-Year Excess Return vs S&P 500 | −28.63% |
| RS Peak | 121.9 (Mar 2026) |
| RS Trough | 62 (Dec 2025) |
| Status | Underperforming Benchmark |
Frequently asked questions
What was CF's return for this report period?
CF returned −6.77% in the latest monthly window ending 2026-08-05.
Has CF outperformed SPY year to date?
YTD CF: +50.91% vs SPY: +12.89%.
What is CF's 12-month return?
+25.87% over the trailing 12 months.
Is CF above or below its 200-day moving average?
Price is +13.05% versus 200DMA ($103.24).
What is the maximum drawdown in the 3-year window?
−29.59% on 2025-04-08.